PPI and core PPI y/y barely above consensus:
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Determine 1: Instantaneous inflation (T=12, a=4) for CPI (daring blue), PCE deflator (inexperienced), PCE market based mostly deflator (brown), and HICP (mild pink), PPI (purple) per Eeckhout (2023). chartreuse dashed horizontal line at 2% goal for PCE deflator. Corresponding CPI goal is 2.45%. HICP seasonally adjusted by writer utilizing X-13. Supply: BLS, BEA, Financial Fee, and writer’s calculations.